Comments on: 2008 election presidential candidate analysis: The Democrats http://jinxedbohemian.wordpress.com/2007/12/16/2008-election-presidential-candidate-analysis-the-democrats/ Just another WordPress.com weblog Sun, 16 Dec 2007 18:48:24 +0000 http://wordpress.com/ hourly 1 By: jinxedbohemian http://jinxedbohemian.wordpress.com/2007/12/16/2008-election-presidential-candidate-analysis-the-democrats/#comment-6 jinxedbohemian Sun, 16 Dec 2007 18:48:24 +0000 http://jinxedbohemian.wordpress.com/2007/12/16/2008-election-presidential-candidate-analysis-the-democrats/#comment-6 Interesting stuff. You're very right. I say Gravel, Dodd, Keyes, Tancredo, and Hunter don't have a chance because they don't have either the best policies or support, and the last part is unfortunate. Hearing the "your man has no chance" hasn't slowed down Kucinich and Paul supports a whole lot. I hate how people are picking Hillary because she appears to be the most "electable," and Guiliani, who is only as high as he is in polls because he might be the most likely to beat Hillary Clinton. Interesting stuff. You’re very right. I say Gravel, Dodd, Keyes, Tancredo, and Hunter don’t have a chance because they don’t have either the best policies or support, and the last part is unfortunate. Hearing the “your man has no chance” hasn’t slowed down Kucinich and Paul supports a whole lot. I hate how people are picking Hillary because she appears to be the most “electable,” and Guiliani, who is only as high as he is in polls because he might be the most likely to beat Hillary Clinton.

]]> By: Anonymous http://jinxedbohemian.wordpress.com/2007/12/16/2008-election-presidential-candidate-analysis-the-democrats/#comment-4 Anonymous Sun, 16 Dec 2007 18:36:55 +0000 http://jinxedbohemian.wordpress.com/2007/12/16/2008-election-presidential-candidate-analysis-the-democrats/#comment-4 John Anderson in '80. John Kusumi in '84. Ron Paul in '88. Jerry Brown in '92. Ross Perot in '92 & '96. Ralph Nader in 2000 (&'04?). David Cobb in '04. Dennis Kucinich in '04 and '08. Ron Paul (again) in '08. --There has always been somebody interesting running for President, but supporters hear that "your man has no chance." It seems ever the case that ordinary / man-on-the-street voters like to 'run with the herd,' not stand on principle. We could test this. Imagine arranging a "blind taste test." What I mean is a presidential preference poll that is between two hypotheticals. The poll would not identify candidate names or parties. Merely, it would identify these two-- FOR PRESIDENT, WHO WOULD YOU VOTE FOR? 1. The best choice 2. The winner If a poll was presented in this way, which one would out-poll the other? I damn well bet'cha that the outcome would be Candidate 2. If so, then that's why the 'herd mentality' creates a self-fulfilling prophecy. John Anderson in ‘80. John Kusumi in ‘84. Ron Paul in ‘88. Jerry Brown in ‘92. Ross Perot in ‘92 & ‘96. Ralph Nader in 2000 (&’04?). David Cobb in ‘04. Dennis Kucinich in ‘04 and ‘08. Ron Paul (again) in ‘08.

–There has always been somebody interesting running for President, but supporters hear that “your man has no chance.” It seems ever the case that ordinary / man-on-the-street voters like to ‘run with the herd,’ not stand on principle.

We could test this. Imagine arranging a “blind taste test.” What I mean is a presidential preference poll that is between two hypotheticals. The poll would not identify candidate names or parties. Merely, it would identify these two–

FOR PRESIDENT, WHO WOULD YOU VOTE FOR?
1. The best choice
2. The winner

If a poll was presented in this way, which one would out-poll the other?

I damn well bet’cha that the outcome would be Candidate 2. If so, then that’s why the ‘herd mentality’ creates a self-fulfilling prophecy.

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